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I've seen a lot of posts with new and experienced owners complaining about the lack of targets their WRs get, so I'm sharing some data that I have collected with all of you.
Preface: This data comes from games that IoT and I have played in six leagues with other experienced owners. Obviously we haven't tried all of the passing plays, so if your favorite passing play isn't on here and you know that it targets the WR a lot don't worry about it. It either doesn't target a WR as a top target, or we haven't tried it.
Dataset: These are plays where the WR is the top target. I have included the target % and the total number off attempts that IoT or I ran one of these plays. Some of the plays we only ran a few times so take that into account.
Formation -- Passing Play -- Target -- Target% -- Target Comp% -- Play Comp% -- Median Yards / Target -- Play Attempts -- Play INT/100 Attempts -- Play Clean% (Sacks + Pressures)
Thank you for sharing your data! How much do you think speed of the WRs plays into the targets? Or would you say since your data us spread across so many different teams, it's probably a wash?
Re: Throwing to WRs
by
setherick
@
12/26/2020 7:28 pm
andrewjolson71 wrote:
Thank you for sharing your data! How much do you think speed of the WRs plays into the targets? Or would you say since your data us spread across so many different teams, it's probably a wash?
It's a wash as long as you're playing 80+ SP WRs.
I purposefully don't track WR attributes on passing plays because it's was annoying to parse, but I should add it to my database eventually.
The other problem is that receiver attributes change season over season so I would need to remember to drop and update roster tables every season.
I'm actually been thinking that certain routes would be better with a SLOWER WR, but I haven't started to experiment with it yet. Consider, for instance, the quick out routes where the WR hits the sideline. A fast WR hits the sideline immediately and then runs back to the middle of the field dragging a defender back into the play.
Gr8 information regardless of the limited data set presented. 1 opponent does not make anything absolute. human biases and tendencies happen and a party of 1 is never a proper control. I would like to see this same experiment against a random selection of games / humans across all your leagues and see the variables - which this presentation does not address. Picking what you (edit: want) to test against is only 1/3 of any experiment. Logically, this data, though interesting, is incomplete due to using both the control and the random as one. There is also no baseline to measure against. Therefore, any conclusions are incomplete and thus lacking. I know this sounds like a calling out, and as far as the scientific method is concerned, it absolutely is. Disregarding proper testing methods (2nd edit and IoTs personal issues that cause blatant bias through known and / or obvious game abuses), I appreciate the effort. Your so called control/random subject quit MFN out of anger. This creates bias. That player was the only data point. The test is null.
Last edited 1/16/2021 8:17 am
Re: Throwing to WRs
by
CrazySexyBeast
@
1/16/2021 2:00 am
Nothing personal.
Re: Throwing to WRs
by
setherick
@
1/16/2021 8:04 am
CrazySexyBeast wrote:
Gr8 information regardless of the limited data set presented. 1 opponent does not make anything absolute.
You misread the first post. This is data of my and IoT's offense AGAINST other teams. And, really, it's 95% my data.
I don't understand the rest of your post. Keep your arguments with other owners out of my threads. Thanks.