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QBs don't need Accuracy
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setherick
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by setherick @ 2/15/2017 8:53 pm
mikecouil wrote:
lellow2011 wrote:
I see nothing wrong with going for it on every 4th down, you do so at your own peril but if you believe it's going to give you a better chance to win then I see no issue with it.

There is a high school team in texas that kicks an onside kick every kickoff and goes for it every 4th down. I haven't kept tabs on them in years but they had gone like 5 years straight without a loss. It's a high risk/high reward strategy and I see nothing wrong with it. You see it far more often at the high school level. My high school coach used to tell us "If you can't put it in from 2 yards out you don't deserve the ball." We went on it in 4th and less than 5 probably half the time and were quite successful.

The article posted above talks about the high school team that doesn't punt. I tend to find the statistics that most of those studies are based misleading on principle. The issue that I have is that the statistical data is inherently skewed because common practice is to punt unless going for it is situationally advantageous or a team is desperate. In those cases, you're going to see more teams make the fourth down than not, which will skew the data toward going for it on all fourth downs.
jdavidbakr
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by jdavidbakr (Site Admin) @ 2/15/2017 9:25 pm
Here's an interesting study that shows that NFL coaches may be too conservative.

http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2013/11/28/fourth-downs/post.html
Last edited 2/16/2017 3:26 am
Liked by DemonMaster, punisher, Brynoand 2 others
mikecouil
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by mikecouil @ 2/15/2017 10:23 pm
setherick wrote:
mikecouil wrote:
lellow2011 wrote:
I see nothing wrong with going for it on every 4th down, you do so at your own peril but if you believe it's going to give you a better chance to win then I see no issue with it.

There is a high school team in texas that kicks an onside kick every kickoff and goes for it every 4th down. I haven't kept tabs on them in years but they had gone like 5 years straight without a loss. It's a high risk/high reward strategy and I see nothing wrong with it. You see it far more often at the high school level. My high school coach used to tell us "If you can't put it in from 2 yards out you don't deserve the ball." We went on it in 4th and less than 5 probably half the time and were quite successful.

The article posted above talks about the high school team that doesn't punt. I tend to find the statistics that most of those studies are based misleading on principle. The issue that I have is that the statistical data is inherently skewed because common practice is to punt unless going for it is situationally advantageous or a team is desperate. In those cases, you're going to see more teams make the fourth down than not, which will skew the data toward going for it on all fourth downs.

Flawed logic. If a team is going for it on 4th down it's ALWAYS because it's advantageous or they are desperate. That's the whole point of it. It isn't going to matter if you go for it in the 1st quarter or the 4th quarter, you are going to see the same kinds of odds of making it. If anything, you might have MORE of a chance in the 1st quarter against a team that hasn't figured you out through the course of the game and your stars are fresh.
Gustoon
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by Gustoon @ 2/15/2017 11:55 pm
lellow2011 wrote:
I see nothing wrong with going for it on every 4th down, you do so at your own peril but if you believe it's going to give you a better chance to win then I see no issue with it.

Have you ever played Madden online?
parsh
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by parsh @ 2/16/2017 2:38 am
Back on point .. I agree with the OP:

4 games in .. 44 Accuracy:

Att 179
Comp 95
Pct 53.1
Yds 1,537
Yds/Att 8.59
Sk/Yd 14/101
TDs 12
Int 3
Lng 80
Rat 97.45

https://cust10.myfootballnow.com/player/4836
Last edited 2/16/2017 8:40 am
Liked by Bryno, mikecouil
Bryno
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by Bryno @ 2/16/2017 9:33 pm
parsh wrote:
Back on point .. I agree with the OP:

4 games in .. 44 Accuracy:

Att 179
Comp 95
Pct 53.1
Yds 1,537
Yds/Att 8.59
Sk/Yd 14/101
TDs 12
Int 3
Lng 80
Rat 97.45

https://cust10.myfootballnow.com/player/4836

So then which attribute has an effect upon tendency to throw/not throw interceptions?
setherick
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by setherick @ 2/16/2017 9:54 pm
Bryno wrote:
parsh wrote:
Back on point .. I agree with the OP:

4 games in .. 44 Accuracy:

Att 179
Comp 95
Pct 53.1
Yds 1,537
Yds/Att 8.59
Sk/Yd 14/101
TDs 12
Int 3
Lng 80
Rat 97.45

https://cust10.myfootballnow.com/player/4836

So then which attribute has an effect upon tendency to throw/not throw interceptions?

Accuracy -- it's a catch 22. A QB with low accuracy is going to complete fewer passes, but he'll miss so badly that he'll miss everyone. A QB with high accuracy is going to complete more passes, but he'll also throw closer to defenders when he misses throwing into double coverage.

Really, Intelligence and Discipline should prevent QBs from forcing the ball into double coverage, but they don't really do much in this game.
Liked by Gustoon, ibblacklavender02, mikecouiland 3 others
setherick
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by setherick @ 2/25/2017 6:34 am
This just in: 28 accuracy QB (he's improved) throws 9 TDs in 100 point blow out win: https://cust78.myfootballnow.com/box/view/233

Through 11 games, he still doesn't complete 50%, but his TD:INT ratio is 40:14. I bet all y'all with 100 accuracy QBs would love that ratio. (I know I would.)
Last edited 2/25/2017 12:36 pm
Liked by Smirt211, Gustoon, mwd65
Jake-Attack03
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by Jake-Attack03 @ 2/25/2017 1:27 pm
They should fix this
Last edited 2/25/2017 7:27 pm
Liked by kicker10bog, WarEagle
setherick
Re: QBs don't need Accuracy
by setherick @ 2/25/2017 4:11 pm
Jake-Attack03 wrote:
They should fix this

It's supposedly in the works in MFN-1, but it is still in unit testing.
Liked by Jake-Attack03, kicker10bog
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